Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 151.383484 166.240636 181.448145 198.149687 215.947847 234.319123 254.686597
2024-12-29 127.748555 149.972303 173.795073 201.108629 231.434013 263.949207 301.323959
2025-01-05 109.189689 136.553496 167.174150 203.671415 245.675514 292.196950 347.302725
2025-01-12 92.078664 122.515029 158.013243 201.889305 254.065930 313.544976 385.867461
2025-01-19 78.573475 110.977818 150.283275 200.520082 262.047126 333.990214 423.469946
2025-01-26 71.223523 106.029412 149.709184 207.142577 279.222054 365.264392 474.236889
2025-02-02 64.603159 101.162177 148.545925 212.509681 294.588779 394.399469 522.851009
2025-02-09 59.273254 97.345091 148.191168 218.492472 310.517159 424.266963 572.718191
2025-02-16 54.460351 93.670322 147.560856 223.766778 325.373500 452.856867 621.346134
2025-02-23 46.409284 84.452681 138.576368 217.169184 324.219527 460.848619 644.027481
2025-03-02 40.446423 77.674035 132.384840 213.794493 326.846095 473.355442 672.280775
2025-03-09 36.363489 73.354941 129.331599 214.441550 334.636840 492.463802 709.077459
2025-03-16 33.041026 70.007637 127.580127 216.962000 345.232025 515.762791 752.184226
2025-03-23 31.158520 68.880658 129.089950 224.216540 362.558524 548.361319 808.081639
2025-03-30 28.965352 66.976545 129.225952 229.366617 376.987785 577.302534 859.627259
2025-04-06 25.802178 62.966447 125.705773 228.774421 383.095084 594.965137 896.371458
2025-04-13 22.963410 59.201636 122.269883 228.042373 388.825991 612.069811 932.497245
2025-04-20 21.909055 58.754245 124.277474 235.762922 407.009303 646.620616 992.630426
2025-04-27 20.674256 57.797633 125.318293 241.920653 422.945314 678.226045 1049.122739
2025-05-04 19.633529 57.110197 126.735660 248.646689 439.783474 711.263269 1107.901540
2025-05-11 18.543313 56.187429 127.650417 254.529368 455.413716 742.770819 1164.920745
2025-05-18 15.748400 51.141934 120.799011 247.326551 450.868429 745.376450 1181.859090
2025-05-25 13.721222 47.514884 116.240003 243.642133 451.483028 755.226889 1208.846060